Words Without Wisdom
JOHN McCAIN SPEAKS
On Whether He Knows When Troops Can Come Home from Iraq: "No, but that's not too important. What's important is the casualties in Iraq." Huffington Post (11 June 2008).
On Vetting his Vice President: "We're going through a process where you get a whole bunch of names, and ya ... well, basically, it's a Google. You just, you know, what you can find out now on the Internet. It's remarkable, you know." The Hotline (9 June 2008).
On Barack Obama: "Senator Obama says that I'm running for a Bush's third term. Seems to me he's running for Jimmy Carter's second." Jonathan Miller notes: "That said, there are millions of voters who either weren't born or who are too young to remember a thing about the Carter presidency." Politico (9 June 2008).
Edgy Growls
Three Big Strikes for Republicans . . .
Are They Already "OUT" in November?
Are They Already "OUT" in November?
by Jim Anderson
14 May 08
Campaign 2008's loudest chatter, blather, and spin has been about the Presidential races—and national crises like how many bullets did Hillary really dodge in Bosnia, should Obama be penalized minus 15 delegates for Rev. Wright's words, and does John McCain even know know a Sunni from Shiite. (Wait a minute—that last one IS revealing and relevant!)
But, the loudest political news of 2008 screamed quietly from the results of three special elections already held in highly-red, predictably-Republican districts: (1) Illinois, (2) Louisiana, and (3) Mississippi.
Amazingly, despite huge RNCC campaign spending and heavy efforts, the Republicans lost all three. It's a very bad harbinger for their upcoming House and Senate elections in November 2008.
STRIKE ONE, Illinois: On March 8, in District 14 of northern Illinois, a Democratic nuclear physicist named Bill Foster (who had never run for public office) defeated a Republican businessman named Jim Oberweis. Why is this big news? Because the seat had been held by Dennis Hastert, former Republican Speaker of the House, in a very-red district that had voted strongly Republican for over 20 years.
STRIKE TWO, Louisiana: On May 3, in District 6 of Louisiana (near Baton Rouge), a Democratic state legislator with a funny name, Don Cazayoux, beat a Republican former representative and newspaper publisher, Woody Jenkin. Cazayoux won by 49% to 46%, in a super-red district that has belonged to Republicans for over 33 years. In 2004, George W. Bush got 59% of the vote there.
STRIKE THREE, Mississippi: Yesterday (May 13), in District 1 of Mississippi, a Democratic court official named Travis Childers beat a popular, experienced Republican mayor, Greg Davis, by 53% to 47%. This seat—again in a very-red district—belonged earlier to Republican Majority Leader, Trent Lott, before he resigned.
Anyone who is seriously interested in Campaign 2008 should read—daily—the highly-reliable and insightful website created by "The Votemaster" (who is really Dr. Andrew A. Tanenbaum, a renowned professor of computer science at Vrije Universiteit in Amstedam): VoteFromAbroad.org. I highly recommend it.
The Votemaster's comments today on the Mississippi loss are telling. He writes:
"The MS-01 loss is especially painful to the GOP for three reasons.
"First, the Republicans tried very, very hard here, pouring in huge amounts of money and having Gov. Haley Barbour and Vice President Dick Cheney campaign for Davis.
"Second, in IL-14 and LA-06 they could argue they had flawed candidates. That doesn't hold here. Greg Davis is a popular mayor who has done a good job and has never been involved in any scandals.
"Third, this election was the second field test of the Republicans' November strategy, which they rolled out against Cazayoux and refined here. They ran ads bitterly attacking Childers as a close associate and fellow traveler of Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi. They called him a LIBERAL (them's fightin' words in Mississippi). They said he didn't represent Mississippi values. They tried everything. It didn't work."
The Votemaster also says: "The implication of LA-06 and MS-01 is that tying a Democratic House candidate to Obama (the Republicans assume he will be the nominee; they don't even mention Clinton) doesn't seem to hurt, not even in overwhelmingly Republican districts in the deep South. It certainly isn't going to hurt in New Jersey and Minnesota. And Obama may have de facto coattails by getting many young voters to register and vote this year, and most of these will vote a straight Democratic ticket."
So, EDGYBEAR GROWLS: the Republicans have now been up to bat three times—in highly favorable Republican districts, against opponents who looked easy. Three times, they swung hard, and three times, they completely missed the ball. Strike One; Strike Two; Strike Three.
With the national election less than six months away, isn't it sensible to project that—come November—Republicans in the shaky Senate and House may be "OUT," big time—out of their power, out of Washington, and out of the ballgame, off to the showers?





